Credit Bubble Bulletin

Three-month Treasury bill rates finished the week at 80 bps. Two-year federal government produces increased three bps to 1 1.29% (up 10bps y-t-d). Greek 10-year yields declined 11 bps to 6.79% (down 23bps y-t-d). Japan’s Nikkei 225 equities index decreased 1.3% to a four-month low (down 2.4% y-t-d). 2.375 billion (from Lipper).

Freddie Mac 30-year fixed home loan rates declined four bps to 4.10% (up 51bps y-o-y). 1.617 TN, or 58%, within the last 230 weeks. 777bn, or 6.2%, over the past year. 31.4bn. Small Time Debris were transformed little. The U.S. money index gained 0.8% to 101.13 (down 1.2% y-t-d). The Goldman Sachs Commodities Index advanced 1.2% (down 1.4% y-t-d).

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April 4 – Reuters (David Brunnstrom, Matt Spetalnick and Ben Blanchard): “When U.S. This week Chief executive Donald Trump fulfills Chinese language Leader Xi Jinping, their summit will be marked not only by deep plan divisions but a clash of personalities between America’s brash ‘tweeter-in-chief’ and Beijing’s cautious, calculating leader. They could have one thing in common: their rhetoric about rebuilding their nations to greatness.

But the two men differ in almost every other respect, using their political styles with their diplomatic experience, adding uncertainty from what has been called the world’s most important bilateral romantic relationship. ‘If China won’t solve North Korea, we will.’ The comments by the united states president came weeks after Rex Tillerson, secretary of state, declared during a trip to Asia that the US policy of ‘strategic patience has ende’. April 4 – Bloomberg (Matthew Townsend, Ben Brody, and Elizabeth Dexheimer): “Donald Trump’s surprising election and his guarantee to overhaul the U.S.

America — however, many industries had hardly applauded before they started gearing up for a fight. Trump’s win gave Republicans control of the U.S. House Speaker Paul Ryan unveiled last summer with little fanfare. Ryan’s radical tax-code rewrite would replace the corporate income tax with a 20% taxes on businesses’ local sales and imports; their exports would be exempt. Cue the alarm bells for import-heavy companies like Wal-Mart Stores Inc., Target Corp. April 2 – Bloomberg: “China’s deleveraging push has racked in the most defaults on corporate bonds ever for a first one fourth, and the identity of the debtors is fairly revealing.

April 7 – Bloomberg: “The scent of doom is returning to China’s local government bond market. S&P Global Rankings taken the cause on the first downgrade of a Chinese language local-government financing vehicle Thursday ever, citing the populous city in eastern Jiangsu province’s high debt burden. Analysts and Traders are uneasy as well, with 18 of 29 polled in a Bloomberg News survey saying they’d sooner buy corporate debt than LGFV bonds.

April 3 – Financial times (Don Weinland): “China’s so-called bad banks are flourishing as alternative lenders, growing from bad-debt managers into some of the country’s largest financial conglomerates in the same way margins at the big state-owned banks come under great pressure. China’s four centrally managed asset management companies (AMCs) were set up in 1999 to swallow dangerous assets from banking institutions, and also have experienced their resources grow expansively within the last five years.

160bn) between 2012 and 2016… The four organizations – Cinda, Huarong, Great Orient and Wall – have been the primary buyers of non-performing loans in China. 215 trillion, an Institute for International Finance report released… showed, boosted by the rapid growth of issuance in emerging markets. 7.6 trillion in 2016 compared with the previous yr.